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Putin Can't Have his Yellowcake and Eat it too: We Must Stop Russia from Getting its Hands on Australian Uranium

Filed under: Russia

20060113000806001.jpg Although Russia is a land of vast mineral resources, it doesn't have sufficient uranium deposits to power its nuclear industry. Therefore, it must import uranium from abroad, and this gives the world a significant point of leverage over the course of Russia's political development, offsetting any influence Russia has based on its oil and gas resources.

Next month, Russian "President" Vladimir Putin will travel to Australia in order to lobby for a huge new deal to purchase "yellowcake" uranium (like that pictured above) down under. Opposition politician Garry Kasparov, investigative journalist Grigory Pasko and attorney Robert Amsterdam are already there, sounding the warning call to Australian politicians that they should not go forward with the deal unless serious conditions and restrictions are imposed.

As Kasparov states: "Should Australian uranium end up in the wrong hands - and it's not too far-fetched to suggest that Russia under Putin is already in the wrong hands - Australia will not be able to act innocent or to claim ignorance." Kasparov warns that the Kremlin cannot be trusted to use Australian uranium purely for domestic peaceful purposes, as is Australia's requirement, and it's equally clear that Russia is unable to safeguard the material it receives from falling into the hands of terrorists. Kasparov warns: "You can only be confident that the Kremlin will look out for itself, that they have zero obedience to the rule of law and that all sales are final."

The U.S. must take immediate and dramatic action to prevent Russia from obtaining any source of ready supply of uranium in the Western world without making radical changes in its system of governance. If we don't seize the initiative, we'll suffer the consequences of an ever-expanding Russian nuclear threat. It's very plain that Russia intends to renew the cold war, and can't field a credible conventional military. Nukes are its only option, and we control its ability to get them. History is watching our leaders and will judge them severely if they fail us.

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Comments


g. says:

Next-door-to-Russia Kazakhstan has 30% of the world's uranium.


La Russophobe says:

Sounds like a wonderful reason for the U.S. to improve its ties with Kazakhstan, which has no love lost for Russia because of a long litany of Soviet atrocities committed there.

http://russophobe.blogspot.com/2006/04/russia-alienates-yet-another-neighbor.html

That's point one on the punchlist!


g. says:

You're retarded if you think Kazakhstan will go against Russia.


La Russophobe says:

You're retarded if you think they won't, and you're double retarded for saying I'm retarded.

If Kazakhstan were all sown up, why would Putin need to travel all the way to Australia, you hopeless idiot?


john says:

you sure sound like just another CIA front "independent" online site.


Russ says:

Didn't used to, John. Just got a lot of color in that lens. The site'll come back, I'm sure.

Frankly, I think this is excellent. I'm not sure why an increased Russian dependence upon somebody else, for a change, is a bad thing.


La Russophobe says:

JOHN:

You sure sound like Neville Chamberlain, sticking your cowardly head in the sand and allowing a malignant dictator to consolidate his power, condemning us to pay a much larger price when we confront him later on. Shame on you!

RUSS:

Your memory is rather faulty, my friend. Let me quote a post from January 18, 2005, just after our blog got started. Robert Mayer wrote about Russia noted that "Opinion polls recently published show that some 60% of this group believe that the state’s task is to provide for its citizens." His analysis? "What can I say? These people are stupid . . . " In the next post we published about Russia, he quoted Condi Rice pointing out the horrors of the Putin regime and commented: "No kidding. If the power in Russia goes anymore to the top — and by that, I mean to Putin’s head — he’s going to topple over. And not just figuratively speaking, as pretty a picture as that is."

Meanwhile, if there's a topic you'd like to see covered that isn't, why not write up a post for Publius, and give an example of how you can do it better -- as we've invited all readers to do from the beginning?


Jay Sunshine says:

On the lighter side, go down three quarters of the page and you'll see the same bare-chested picture Drudge has up. http://kremlin.ru/eng/events/photos/2007/08/13_141050.shtml

Yellow-cake uranium? Hell, I'd be shocked if someone sporting those man-breasts could get Kim Zigfeld's phone number.


John Hussey says:

Yellow cake??? So that is why my friend "Don" has been spending so much time in Kazakhstan over the past few years. He is a good friend, I know his background and but I know he deals with a LOT of very delicate issues. I also know better than to ask to many question about the delicate issues. Skiing together is better than the politics. This posting completes the puzzel. PS: NO, the good poeple of Kazakhstan, in general do NOT like the Russians. They also know that the Trans-Caspian oil and gas pipelines will help Kazakhstan and Georgia and undermine Russia. They work hard on this and they smile a lot!


Russ says:

Kim, I'm a former contributor. Check the archives. Frankly, I wish Robert would come back and do a few more columns. His writing was routinely excellent, and he always went past the simple story in order to do the drill-down.
I'm not faulting the site; I'm faulting *your analysis,* or lack thereof. That the siloviki are a menace is evident to anybody who is paying attention.

You posit

The U.S. must take immediate and dramatic action to prevent Russia from obtaining any source of ready supply of uranium in the Western world without making radical changes in its system of governance.

Why? They've *got* nukes. U.S. security experts believe them to be reasonably secure. Is it in the interests of the United States to actively and openly pursue regime change? And should it do so, why would the current regime have any reason not to assume that its political life was at stake, and react accordingly? What does "dramatic action" mean, and what are the likely consequences of pursuing it? What are the actual ramifications of a U.S. foreign policy (which I would applaud, actually) that explicitly "goes for the kill" on the current Russian regime? Who is likely to pay the price for such a policy?

You are asserting matters as a given that should instead be proven, or, at minimum, defined. Of course the siloviki are a corrupt and paranoid menace to their own population. But the double-game applies to the free world, as well. Is it NATO's purpose ultimately to re-ignite the Cold War as you have so often advised, and actively attempt to extinguish Russia's current regime? If so, then let's acknowledge something: whether or not we think they're bastards, it is *correct* for the regime to make whatever moves hamper NATO expansion, and that includes screwing with our friends in Georgia. Otherwise you are faulting the other player for daring to castle his king the move before you advanced your bishop. Frustrating, if you're the other player (and despite your notably thin skin, we are clearly on the same side)... but an understandable move on the part of our opponents.

Our focus, therefore, should be on how those moves should be countered. And rather than answering the actual criticism, you have made an "argument from authority" bringing up Mr. Mayer.

So let me put it in the form of a question: does it strengthen, or ultimately weaken, the Russian regime's position if it obtains, and relies upon its ability to obtain, yellowcake from Australia? Is this similar to, or fundamentally different from, Russia's influence over OMV and the Austrian state, and its potential political influence over Central Europe because of the latter's dependence on Russian natural gas, and in what ways?

Who is actually likely to receive the leverage, and whose hand eventually to hold the lever?


colleen says:

Russ, deep analysis there.

Neocons think Russia is making Europe dependent on its energy, yet they don't want stalwart ally Australia to make Russia dependent on its uranium.

So, is there no ideology and simply taking what is probably the most anti-Russian position the way to go for the neocons?

Moreover, Russia has had nukes since 1948 (really 1947) and could have pressed the button to destroy the western world since the early 60s, yet it hasn't. Mutually assured destruction, like it or not, is a proven success and must be maintained.

Likewise, the NPT and the strong positions of the U.S./Soviet Union/Russia had really succeeded in limiting nuclear proliferation, with the only failures being India and Pakistan (out of 200 or so countries and terrorist groups). Unfortunate, but a result of the Cold War.

But then North Korea came along and if it were up to me would have dealt with it more severely because North Korea might have set a precedent: succeed in building a nuke and you guarantee security. If Iran et. al go ahead with their programs, and there's no indication yet IMO, it will be because of the world's quite lenient reaction to North Korea.

Sam Nunn and Richard Lugar always say how responsible and transparent Russia has been since the end of the Cold War to reduce their stockpiles and safeguard spent fuel of nuclear reactors in the Eastern Bloc while, very rightfully, maintaining their nuclear detterance and MAD.

In my opinion, Russia has more than enough uranium in Russia itself and this is more of recognizing the importance and relative scarcity of uranium and wanting to use the other guys up first instead of your own, rather than Russia really needing Australia's uranium. Anyway, none of this will even matter in 15 years when nuclear fusion (a technology where Russia is pretty much the authority in) is powering the world and yellowcake becomes so unimportant that anyone can have it and eat it too.


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